Create your profile
Register, confirm programme eligibility and complete any identity or compliance checks required for your jurisdiction.
How it works
A measurable path from forecast to track record.
Black Monolith Predictions is designed to evaluate repeatable decision quality in a controlled simulated environment—not simply the outcome of one event.
The mission
Make forecasting skill visible.
Strong forecasters often have no consistent way to prove their edge. Screenshots show only isolated wins. Social profiles reward confidence more than calibration. Black Monolith replaces that noise with transparent objectives, repeatable rules and performance analytics.
The goal is a merit-based evaluation where discipline, risk control, diversification and decision quality matter as much as headline return.
The process
Four steps from registration to review.
Select an evaluation
Choose a simulated account size, compare Standard and Elite limits and understand every breach condition before applying.
Trade the simulation
Build positions across supported event categories while the dashboard monitors objectives, concentration and loss headroom.
Progress based on results
Pass, retry or move into the simulated performance account according to objective results and compliance review.
Operating principles
Built around trust, not hype.
The programme only works when expectations and rules are clear from the beginning.
Transparency
Objectives, limits, review logic and prohibited conduct are explained before an evaluation begins.
Meritocracy
Progress depends on repeatable results and risk control—not audience size, aggressive marketing or one lucky position.
Responsible access
Participants first demonstrate skill in simulation rather than depositing trading capital into a live market account.
What is measured
Performance is more than profit.
Return
Net result across resolved and open simulated positions.
Risk control
Daily loss, drawdown and exposure relative to programme limits.
Consistency
Whether the track record depends on one oversized outcome.
Decision quality
Forecast calibration, thesis quality and category-specific edge.
Choose your next step
Test the framework before choosing a paid evaluation.
Begin with the free seven-day assessment or compare every evaluation objective and fee.