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The prediction trader evaluation
Prove your forecasting edge. Qualify for up to €150K.
Complete one simulated evaluation, demonstrate disciplined risk management and build a verified performance record across prediction markets.
1 phaseDirect evaluation path
From €119One-time programme fee
€25K–€150KSimulated account range
30 daysEvaluation window
Simulated accounts only. Participation, reward eligibility and availability are governed by the programme terms applicable at enrolment.
Platform preview · demonstration data
BTC above €100K by quarter end?Crypto · closes in 18d 07h
67%▲ 3.2 today
18 Jun25 Jun02 Jul09 JulToday
PositionYES · 420
Avg. entry61.4%
Open P/L+€234
Objective progress
4.8 / 6%
Risk headroom
€1.640
Daily limit€1.000
Used today€188
StatusHealthy
Consistency
84 / 100
Forecast journalDecision trail
4 active entriesMarketPositionEntryEdgeStatus
BTC above €100K by quarter endYES61.4%+5.6%Open
ECB cuts rates at next meetingYES72.1%+3.9%Resolved
US CPI below 3.0%YES54.0%+7.0%Open
ETH ETF weekly inflows positiveNO47.8%-1.4%Resolved
Risk limitsLive headroom
Account healthy€960 remaining
Crypto concentration
Inside programme limits
Resolved marketsSource and outcome trail
214 totalECB cuts rates at next meetingResolved 18 Jul 2026 · ECB decision statement
CorrectETH ETF weekly inflows positiveResolved 12 Jul 2026 · Published fund-flow report
IncorrectUK inflation below 3.5%Resolved 08 Jul 2026 · ONS CPI release
CorrectUS unemployment above 4.2%Resolved 05 Jul 2026 · BLS employment release
CorrectACTIVE FORECASTWithin limits
US CPI below 3.0% on next release
How it works
A clear route from forecast to verified track record.
Built for prediction-market traders, macro forecasters and event-driven analysts who want their process measured under consistent rules.
01Select
Choose your evaluation
Compare the account size, target, risk limits and fee before enrolling.
- €25K to €150K simulated capital
- Standard and Elite structures
- Rules visible before enrolment
02Evaluate
Prove consistency
Reach the stated target while remaining inside daily loss, drawdown and concentration limits.
- Live objective monitoring
- Forecast journal and exposure view
- Transparent breach calculations
03Qualify
Enter performance review
Successful participants progress to review for a larger simulated performance account.
- No fixed target after qualification
- Review cycle from seven days
- Scaling based on sustained discipline
Evaluation plans
Find the account structure that suits your style.
Two clear routes. One evaluation phase. Choose the balance between entry fee and operating room.
Simulated account size€50.000
Compare at a glance
Standard
Structured and disciplined
A focused route with the lowest programme fee.
From€119
Elite
More flexibility
Lower target pressure and wider operating room.
From€179
TargetPerformance objective
6%Performance objective
5%Performance objective
Daily lossMaximum daily limit
2%Maximum daily limit
2.5%Maximum daily limit
DrawdownMaximum total limit
3%Maximum total limit
4%Maximum total limit
Best forParticipant profile
Clear rules and a lower starting fee.
A lower target and more operating room.
✓Simulated environment
✓No participant capital custody
✓Rules visible before enrolment
*Reward eligibility, review timing and performance share depend on the programme terms active at enrolment.
Methodology & product proof
How performance is reviewed.
A simpler look at what is measured and what a participant sees inside the platform.
What is checked
Performance is only one part of the review.
Black Monolith combines return with risk control, consistency and transparent market resolution so participants can see how the full process is assessed.
Progress against the stated target.
Daily loss, drawdown and exposure headroom.
Repeatability across sessions and categories.
Source, timestamp and outcome trail.
Real-time objectivesTarget and risk limits stay visible throughout the evaluation.
Clean separationOpen and resolved exposure remain clearly separated.
Exportable reviewEvery account receives an exportable performance summary.
Start without paying
Start free assessment
Take the free 7-day prediction assessment.
Test the framework, practise the risk rules and receive a personal performance summary before choosing a paid evaluation.
€10KSimulated practice balance
7 daysAssessment period
€0No programme fee
Questions before joining
Understand the rules before making a decision.
Core conditions are explained before enrolment, including simulated account status, loss calculations and progression after passing.
Open the complete FAQNo. Evaluation and performance accounts are simulated. Black Monolith does not custody participant trading capital.
Your account enters objective, conduct and eligibility review before a simulated performance account is issued.
Daily loss includes resolved losses and applicable open simulated exposure within the published platform-day window.
Ready to test your process?
Start free. Review your data. Then choose an evaluation.
Begin with a no-fee simulated assessment or configure a full evaluation when you are ready.